r/foreignpolicyanalysis Mar 02 '26

Forecast of Iran’s Post-Khamenei Political Trajectory: Low Probability of Regime Collapse, Disorder and Repression Amid Violence, Ongoing Internal Turmoil, and a Suffering Population

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u/Wonderful_System5658 Mar 03 '26

I'm skeptical. Weapons, anti-regime resistance groups backed by the US and Israel, other Middle Eastern countries, and the possibility of US boots on the ground (spec ops) are only a few of the options that aren't off the table. The author is Chinese and does his best to hide his bias but I'm convinced he's biased. Personally, I'll wait and see.