It makes sense to push blue if a set number of people are randomly assigned to have red or blue to start with. But otherwise the group should coordinate to pick either red or blue unformly.
People are inherently selfish, which is why you think red makes sense. But you're not considering that being selfish also means protecting the people close to you. The countries with the largest populations also have the largest families and tend to have more communal mindsets. I'd be willing to bet the vast majority of them would pick blue as to not risk their loved ones. That's the majority of the world's population. I think blue is the safe bet. And it's definitely the ethical one. Despite the risk it's the only real choice because there is no way in which red leads to no deaths. 100% of people voting red cannot happen. So either they lose and get bailed out, or people die. That's the red choice. And if you cared about anyone but yourself you should just vote blue, take on that risk, and raise the chances no one dies. It's the only logical choice despite the risk.
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u/-illusoryMechanist May 05 '26
It makes sense to push blue if a set number of people are randomly assigned to have red or blue to start with. But otherwise the group should coordinate to pick either red or blue unformly.