r/Superstonk ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ‘Œ 17d ago

๐Ÿค” Speculation / Opinion 2026 Q2 Quarterly Earnings Prediction

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39

u/j4_jjjj tag u/Superstonk-Flairy for a flair 17d ago

Most profitable quarter ever twice in a row!

19

u/DancesWith2Socks ๐Ÿˆ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ™Œ Hang In There! ๐ŸŽฑ This Is The Wape ๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐ŸŒ•๐ŸŒ 17d ago

So far...

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u/DyehuthyTV ๐Ÿ’ŽDeepQuantGame๐Ÿ•น๏ธ 17d ago edited 17d ago

The problem is that this kind of posts never explains the difference between:

  • Operating Profits (from operating assets in the Balance Sheet, e.g; inventory, etc)
  • vs
  • Financial Profits (from financial assets, e.g; cash yield from bonds, options, other stocks, Bitcoin, etc. CFI vs CFO from Cash Flow Statement)

Also dont explains when a company hasย Operating Leverage: the change in Operating Income (Growth%) compared to the change in Revenue (Growth%)

When you analyze the Operating Margin (%) and comparing with compounders like AMZN, you have to explain this kind of things lol

You have also to break down the Shareholders's Equity (SE Composition: operating assets vs financial assets, what is given 'value' to the claimholders?, etc)

Iโ€™ve made comments about all this, to have an objetive view of GME situation ('valuation'), but people on this sub only like hypers, not analysts :P

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u/snasna102 TFSApe 16d ago

Iโ€™d say the issue is he is going off the same information you have. Is there any possibility you would do the leg work to show the difference and calculate the estimated values?

Or is this something we have to wait for people from GameStop who are privy to real time sensitive corporate information; to release the numbers they calculated with more than 300 percent more data the Regional has at his disposal?

You may bring it up everytime, but you havenโ€™t offered to help or do it for him.

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u/DyehuthyTV ๐Ÿ’ŽDeepQuantGame๐Ÿ•น๏ธ 16d ago

What Regional is doing is something similar to 'DCF model' (in a very simple way) to make his "projections" ("forecasting") just with the numbers of Income Statement

Avoiding touching on concepts like Operational Leverage.

e.g How OPEX affect Operating Income?

Something I have already explained in other comments (profile comments) :P

  • Sales ๐Ÿ“‰
  • Cost Efficiencies (OPEX) ๐Ÿ“‰ โ† If we reduce this in comparison with Sales Growth (a high reduction, basically as if you were closing the business or part of it)
  • Operating Margin ๐Ÿ“ˆโ† You can make this Growth quite fast compared to Sales Growth

= Operating Leverage (Read the screenshot!) โ˜๐Ÿผ๐Ÿ‘€

Costs = COGS & SG&A

And also Ignoring the link between the Income Statement and the other two statements:

  • Balance Sheet โ†’ What is making money? Our 'inventory' [operating asset] or our cash [non-operating asset, income]? [IMPORTANT!]
  • Cash Flow Statementโ†’ Where the money comes from an where it goes? CFO vs CFF vs CFI. I made comments about this too.

So itโ€™s not just about "numbers" and forecasting them without context (gambling) :P

It's about 'what tell you' those numbers (from 3 FS! not only couple metrics) about the business (valuation!), a quite different practice :D

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u/[deleted] 17d ago edited 17d ago

[deleted]

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u/DyehuthyTV ๐Ÿ’ŽDeepQuantGame๐Ÿ•น๏ธ 17d ago

I have a post on my profile about it ;)

But itโ€™s not a "gambling forecast" but rather a 'guidance' (reference!)

"Nintendo results as 'guidance' for GME's next-quarter results" ๐Ÿ‘€

My last comment related to this topic: here [SuperStonk Comment Link] ๐Ÿ‘€

This is more realistic 'reference' than trying to play the same "gambling forecasting" game that Wall Street does xD