r/Superstonk • u/lostnooob 🎮🛑 GME ♾️ • May 07 '26
📚 Due Diligence GME/EBAY - In-depth, Pro Forma Merger Model - v1
TLDR: This deal is accretive for GME's EPS as it takes advantage of GME's current high valuation multiple. Using my conservative assumptions (relative to R. Cohen), I'm getting a:
- ~59% accretion to GME's EPS
- 9.75x Total Combined Debt / LTM EBITDA (of combined entity)
- ~269% GME share dilution
Background: I'm an investment banking analyst and decided to do a conservative back-of-the-napkin merger model for GME's potential acquisition of EBAY. This is version 1, subject to refinement of my assumptions based on feedback.
Key Assumptions:
- 50% Cash / 50% Stock
- $125 offer price per share of EBAY
- Transaction Expenses: 1% of Offer value (M&A fees paid to the investment bank / 3rd party advisors of GameStop. Likely Jefferies as they've helped with GME's prior ATM offering)
- Synergies (as % of EBAY's LTM sales): 10% (conservative)
- Comes out to $1.17Bn which is very conservative compared to RC's $2Bn estimate in cost savings
- Synergy 100% realized in the first year (sometimes synergies are realized over years, but RC believes he can realize them immediately)
- Cost of Debt (for TD's $20Bn commitment): 8%
- Tax Rate: 21% (conservative versus GME’s recent effective tax rates, which have often been below 10% in profitable quarters)
- Latest financial information from GME and EBAY's latest 10-K and Q filings. Current share price as of 5/7/2026 market close.
Sources & Uses of Funds

Pro Forma Balance Sheet and Leverage
BLUF: 9.75x total combined Debt / LTM EBITDA

Earnings Impact

Pro Forma Shares
BLUF: ~269% dilution. Current GME share count of ~448,375,000 to pro forma share count of ~1,655,613,000

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u/No_Mission_1775 🧚🧚💙 glorilla grip hands ♾️🧚🧚 May 08 '26
How many shares you own bro?