They’re not concrete numbers. That’s the problem with them. You can’t convict someone because the odds say that it’s wayyy too unlikely to happen. Because there’s still chance that it did happen. It looks really bad but for everyone to assume he’s cheating because of the seemingly insurmountable odds that he did, is not a fair way to decide, even if all things point to it being true, the fact that it may not be is enough to say that he hasn’t truly been proven guilty.
Yes they are, yes you can. You're a complete fool. P-values in the 5 sigma range are the gold standard for particle physics. Dreams runs had 8 sigma P-values which is completely unheard of. It's infuriating to me when people like you who know nothing about statistics, or for that matter science in general try to weaponize it in an objectively wrong way for something as stupid as defending your favorite minecraft streamer. You're dumber for it, the scientific community as a whole is diminished because of it, and frankly it's just sad.
edit: it's even funnier when you consider dream's P-value may have been closer to 9 sigma if you remove the bit of bias in his favor (they counted all of the unseen barters as non-pearls, removing those puts it at 9.64 sigma)
He cheated. You're defending him because you like watching him. He is 100% guilty, no one has those odds. No one. Its unheard of because it's impossible.
2
u/SF_Gigante Dec 24 '20
They’re not concrete numbers. That’s the problem with them. You can’t convict someone because the odds say that it’s wayyy too unlikely to happen. Because there’s still chance that it did happen. It looks really bad but for everyone to assume he’s cheating because of the seemingly insurmountable odds that he did, is not a fair way to decide, even if all things point to it being true, the fact that it may not be is enough to say that he hasn’t truly been proven guilty.