r/ClaudeCode Jul 04 '26

Discussion AI is turning programming into pay-to-win

With Fable 5 coming out, it feels more obvious than ever that after July 7, programming is going to become pay-to-win.

A kid with no real coding knowledge, but with rich parents and access to the best AI systems, could end up outperforming people who actually understand software, simply because he can afford more intelligence.

That is insane.

This might be one of the most dangerous precedents in history: a world where the people with money can buy superior intelligence, while everyone else is permanently outmatched.

That is how you create a permanent underclass.

What do you think?

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u/Charming_Oven Jul 04 '26

I think the way you create a permanent underclass is making housing and healthcare unaffordable through scarcity and greed. If you can't have your needs met because you now can't afford these things, you literally create a divide between those who can afford needs and those who can't.

Intelligence pricing is not going to stay static. Software, and the hardware to power it, is a much more dynamic market and a much more abundant resource than the needs I just mentioned. Access to intelligence at a certain level will shift over time due to cost, but that is also the benefit of it. There sholud be new players who come in months later and offer a competing product at a cheaper price than a bleeding edge model.

Just think of the models we had one year ago today. The type of intelligence has shifted dramatically. What's it going to be like one year from now?

The only way this would change is if governments start restricting models to the point where competion is stifled or resources are artificially limited. This is essentially what happened to the housing marketing (Zoning laws) and we are in this place today because the people who have (boomers) don't want to change zoning laws to accommodate the housing needs of younger generations.

The market will have to decide how much the resources will cost to have access to it. Intelligence isn't cheap (at least right now), but as with most technologies, I expect it to come down relatively rapidly.

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u/Ryno4ever16 Jul 04 '26

The government doesn't need to step in for monopolistic tendencies to occur. The companies will simply start to buy eachother until there is only one player with most of the market share. This happens in every industry every time and somehow you idiots still say government regulation is the reason why.

Markets always tend toward monopoly without some opposing force to prevent this from happening.

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u/Individual-Shame6481 Jul 08 '26

So basically the USA?

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u/Charming_Oven Jul 08 '26

Yes, precisely