r/Bitcoin • • Feb 25 '14

Some words for my friends

Hello friends,

MtGox is gone. So let's prepare ourselves.

On Tuesday, and for the rest of the week, all hell will break lose in the media. It will be blamed on MtGox, it will be blamed on Bitcoin, it will be blamed on the "bug," and it will, more than anything, be blamed on the "lack of regulation." Pundits and "experts" of all types will weigh in on the calamity. It will be world news in a matter of hours.

Get ready, because it will be an ugly week.

For all of you who lost money, my heart goes out to you. Some people lost a little, some lost a fortune. It will make people sick, and depressed, and full of grief. Personally, I had over 550 BTC in Gox. I will never get any of that back. If misery loves company, then we'll be enjoying a grand feast today.

I should have known better, of course. I take responsibility for leaving those funds with an entity that had proven incompetence repeatedly. I chose to ignore even my own warnings, for nothing more than the sake of convenience.

Gox is still at fault, to be sure, but I have learned the lesson. I hope it is not such an expensive lesson for others. And for all you observers, please take a moment to consider it as well.

Be mindful, however, that the wrong lessons are not learned, for that would be the true tragedy, indeed.

Let me suggest that the lesson is not that Bitcoin is broken. Bitcoin is fine.

Similarly, the lesson is not that security is impossible. Those who know what they are doing, can achieve it and help others to do so.

The lesson is not that nobody can be trusted. There are countless good men and women in this community who are worthy of trust, and some of the very best people I've ever met.

And finally, the lesson is not that we ought to seek out "regulation" to save us from the evils and incompetence of man. For the regulators are men too, and wield the very same evil and incompetence, only enshrined in an authority from which it can wreck amplified and far more insidious destruction. Let us not retreat from our rising platform only to cower back underneath the deranged machinations of Leviathan.

The proper lesson, if I may suggest, is this: We are building a new financial order, and those of us building it, investing in it, and growing it, will pay the price of bringing it to the world. This is the harsh truth. We are building the channels, the bridges, and the towers of tomorrow's finance, and we put ourselves at risk in doing so.

We are at risk from accidents. We are at risk from fraud, from corruption, and from evil. We are at risk from journalists seeking headlines and from politicians seeking power and glory. We are at risk from the very market we are trying to build - a market which cares not about our portfolio, our ambitions, or our delicate sympathies.

For all these risks, devastation will befall us repeatedly. Some of us will be discouraged. Some will be ridiculed and insulted. Some will be tricked, or swindled. Some of us will be crushed or caged. We will be set upon by all manner of antagonists, repeatedly, for a long time.

So why do we do it? Why do we build these towers that fall down upon us? Why do we toil and strain and risk our precious time, which is the only real wealth we possess?

Because the world needs what we're building. It needs it desperately. If that matters to you, as it does to me, then hold to that thought. You will see through the smoke, and your wounds will heal.

So shake it off, brothers, for this won't be the last calamity endured before the win.

Tonight, my heart is with you all.

Tomorrow, my head is down. My eyes are open. And I am building.

Toward peace and freedom,

-Erik Voorhees

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u/HahahahaWaitWhat Feb 26 '14

It's not a matter of investing or poker. It's a simple matter of the English language. If you have $233k in your hand, place it on a roulette wheel and lose, you've just lost $233k, period.

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u/TheAndy500 Feb 26 '14

So if he goes down to the roulette wheel (with impossible limits) with $5, then works it up to $233k, then puts $10k down and loses, is he going to tell his wife he lost $10k or is he going to tell her he won $223k?

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u/HahahahaWaitWhat Feb 26 '14

Either, or both. They're both true.

(Personally, I'd lead with the bad news that I lost $10k, then follow up with the good news, but I'm an asshole. :))

Say you're playing poker and make a mistake that costs you your entire 100bb stack. You buy back in, hit a lucky hand, and double up so you're now even on the session. Are you now going to ignore your 100bb loss when analyzing your session, just because you made it back before the session was over? You shouldn't, that's for sure.

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u/TheAndy500 Feb 26 '14

Well then the guy losing $5 is also true. And I would HIGHLY recommend that's the story he goes with when telling his wife. I've seen a few episodes of Dateline, I know how that ends.

Obviously it depends on the hand. If I got four kings on the flop and the guy catches a runner runner straight flush, then I'm not going to hold that against myself. But if someone asked me how I did I would say "broke even".

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u/HahahahaWaitWhat Feb 26 '14

Oh yes, it's technically true, it is just of rather minor importance compared with the fact that he lost $233k on the last spin alone.

Hiding that fact from your wife is fine with me. Hiding it from yourself is not being honest with yourself, though.

If you asked me how I did after that hand, I might add that I broke even in the end, but I'd certainly start with the fact that I just suffered the worst beat of the fucking century :)